Estudo dos fatores determinantes das taxas de crescimento econômico dos municípios do Centro Oeste do Brasil: uma abordagem dos fatores aglomerativos urbanos

Abstract

This work seeks to understand whether the agglomerative factors of the Municipalities of the Midwest region influence their economic growth rates in the light of Solow's basic economic growth model, the theory of gravity and the New Geographical Economics (NGE). This research covers the states of Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul and Goias. The Federal District, despite being located in this region, was not included in the research due to the strong presence of the government sector as a driver of economic activities. The data used were extracted from the websites of IBGE, IPEADATA and Instituto FIRJAN covering the period from 2005 to 2016. The per capita product growth rate at current prices was used as the dependent variable of the model. The variables of the population growth rate and the Human Development Index of the Municipality - FIRJAN are independent variables aligned with the Solow economic growth model, while the variables Distance from the Municipality to its Capital, Gross Domestic Product of the Municipality and the Capital are variables aligned with the Theory of Gravity and the variables Demographic Density, Tax Burden of the Municipalities and the Capital and the Total Population of the Municipalities and the Capital are independent variables aligned with the theory of the New Economic Geography. The results showed that only the variables Distance from the City to its Capital and the Tax Load of the Capital were not statistically relevant to reject the null hypothesis that such variables have no influence on the growth rate of the Municipalities.