Ponto de inflexão russo-ucraniano: a percepção russa do conflito no leste da Europa

Abstract

This study analyses the Russo-Ukrainian conflict from the perspective of Russian strategic perceptions and decisions, particularly under Vladimir Putin's leadership. The research examines the post-Cold War historical context, the evolution of Russian foreign policy, and the key geopolitical events leading to the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The methodology employed includes bibliographic research, theoretical support from authors such as Angelo Segrillo, and an analysis of historical events and international policies. The research also adopts a constructivist approach to explore the identity dynamics and Russo perceptions, alongside Korybko's concept of Hybrid Warfare to understand U.S. strategies in the region. The findings indicate that Russian foreign policy oscillated between assertiveness and aggression, influenced by NATO's expansion and Color Revolutions promoted by the West. Putin's Russia, shaped by identity currents and political pragmatism, assertively responds to perceived threats to its security and regional influence.